2026 Week 8 result

What was published before kickoff, beside what actually happened. These numbers were frozen at 2026-10-29 13:10 and have not been recomputed since.

Graded

of 14 games

Winner picked

57%

market 71%

Margin MAE

11.23

market 10.89

ATS

7-7 · 50.0%

52.4% breaks even

Game by game

Date	Matchup	Projected	Final	Pick	Close	ATS
10-29	CAR at GB	19.2–25.0	19–27	GB HIT	+3.5	WIN
11-01	ARI at DAL	24.2–29.4	33–30	DAL MISS	+7.0	WIN
11-01	ATL at TB	21.0–21.1	0–16	ATL MISS	+2.5	LOSS
11-01	BAL at BUF	22.3–25.6	10–36	BUF HIT	+3.0	WIN
11-01	CLE at PIT	17.5–21.3	6–27	PIT HIT	+3.5	WIN
11-01	IND at JAX	15.1–28.4	7–42	JAX HIT	+10.0	WIN
11-01	KC at DEN	21.8–20.2	24–28	KC MISS	-1.5	LOSS
11-01	LAC at LA	18.4–27.8	9–24	LA HIT	+6.5	WIN
11-01	LV at NYJ	20.9–23.2	38–33	NYJ MISS	+1.5	LOSS
11-01	MIN at DET	21.2–23.8	15–19	DET HIT	+3.0	LOSS
11-01	NE at MIA	24.0–18.1	24–19	NE HIT	-7.0	WIN
11-01	PHI at WAS	21.3–20.6	10–27	PHI MISS	+6.0	LOSS
11-01	TEN at CIN	16.8–30.5	36–43	CIN HIT	+11.5	LOSS
11-02	CHI at SEA	20.0–27.0	34–17	SEA MISS	+3.0	LOSS

Download the projections as published (CSV)

Model output, not advice. These are simulated distributions from a statistical model, published to record how it performs. Nothing here is a betting recommendation. Lines shown are the closing numbers carried in the underlying data and may differ from any book. 21+; if gambling stops being fun, call 1-800-522-4700.

Every Possible Sunday — built Nov 05, 2026. Play-by-play and lines from nflfastR via nfl_data_py. Team marks belong to their owners and are used here to identify clubs.